为了纪念千禧年的来临,美国统计学会杂志(Journal of the American Statistical Association)从2000年起刊登了一个由50多篇短文组成的连载,每篇短文都着力概括统计学中的某一领域在即将过去的一个世纪所取得的进展。这一计划的初衷在于将统计学中一些最优秀的成果做一总结,并且突出未来研究中的具有潜力的领域。这些文章涵盖了列联表(contingency table),对数线性模型(Fienberg,2000),因果推理在社会科学中的应用(Sobel,2000),人口学(Xie,2000),政治学方法论(Beck,2000),计量心理学(Browne,2000),经验方法在法律科学中的应用(Eisenberg,2000)等诸多领域,是一些非常好的综述性文章,对于学习统计学的人来说是难得的学习材料。考虑到国内许多院校不是JASA的订户,本园地特下载了这些原文,以飨读者。

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1.Statistics in the Year 2000,Vignettes
2.Statistics in the Life and Medical Sciences
3.Survival Analysis
4.Causal Analysis in the Health Sciences
5.Environmental Statistics
6.Capture--Recapture Models
7.Statistics in Animal Breeding
8.Some Issues in Assessing Human Fertility
9.Statistical Issues in Toxicology
10.Receiver Operating Characteristic Methodology
11.The Randomized Clinical Trial
12.Some Contributions of Statistics to Environmental Epidemiology
13.Challenges Facing Statistical Genetics
14.Computational Molecular Biology
15.Introduction
16.Finance a selective survey
17.Statistics and marketing
18.Time Series and Forecasting Brief History and Future Research
19.Contingency Tables and Log-Linear Models Basic Results and New Developments
20.Causal Inference in the Social Sciences
21.Political Methodology A Welcoming Discipline
22.Statistics in Sociology, 1950-2000
23.Psychometrics
24.Empirical Methods and the Law
25.Demography Past, Present, and Future
26.Introduction
27.Challenges in Understanding the Atmosphere
28.Seismology-A Statistical Vignette
29.Internet Traffic Data
30.Coding and Compression A Happy Union of Theory and Practice
31.Statistics in Reliability
32.The State of Statistical Process Control as We Proceed into the 21st Century
33.Statistics in Preclinical Pharmaceutical Research and Development
34.Statistics in Advanced Manufacturing
35.Foreword
36.Bayesian Analysis A Look at Today and Thoughts of Tomorrow
37.An Essay on Statistical Decision Theory
38.Markov Chain Monte Carlo 10 Years and Still Running
39.Empirical Bayes Past, Present and Future
40.Linear and Log-Linear Models
41.The Bootstrap and Modern Statistics
42.Prospects of Nonparametric Modeling
43.Gibbs Sampling
44.The Variable Selection Problem
45.Robust Nonparametric Methods
46.Hierarchical Models A Current Computational Perspective
47.Hypothesis Testing From p Values to Bayes Factors
48.Generalized Linear Models
49.Missing Data Dial M for ???
50.A Robust Journey in the New Millennium
51.Likelihood
52.Conditioning, Likelihood, and Coherence A Review of Some Foundational Concepts
53.The end of time series
54.Principal Information Theoretic Approaches
55.Measurement error models
56.Higher-Order Asymptotic Approximation Laplace, Saddlepoint, and Related Methods
57.Minimaxity
58.Afterword